XLU.USvsVPU.US

10-Year Study

The Verdict

Over the synchronized 10-year period measured, XLU.US historically led across 10 distinct risk and return vectors.
XLU.US generated a 10-year CAGR of 9.6% (Max Drawdown: 18.9%), while VPU.US generated 9.4% (Max Drawdown: 19.1%).

XLU.US
8
metric wins
9.6% CAGR
VS
VPU.US
2
metric wins
9.4% CAGR
XLU.US led on more metrics

Head-to-Head StatisticsiDetailed side-by-side breakdown of return and risk metrics.

10Y CAGRCAGRCompound Annual Growth Rate — the annualized rate of return over a period, accounting for compounding.Click for full definition →
XLU.US
+9.6%
VS
VPU.US
+9.4%
5Y CAGRCAGRCompound Annual Growth Rate — the annualized rate of return over a period, accounting for compounding.Click for full definition →
XLU.US
+10.2%
VS
VPU.US
+10.1%
3Y CAGRCAGRCompound Annual Growth Rate — the annualized rate of return over a period, accounting for compounding.Click for full definition →
XLU.US
+18.9%
VS
VPU.US
+18.8%
1Y CAGRCAGRCompound Annual Growth Rate — the annualized rate of return over a period, accounting for compounding.Click for full definition →
XLU.US
+8.9%
VS
VPU.US
+8.3%
Max DrawdownMax DrawdownThe largest peak-to-trough decline in the asset's value over the measurement period.Click for full definition →
lower is better
XLU.US
-18.9%
VS
VPU.US
-19.1%
Sharpe RatioSharpe RatioRisk-adjusted return: how much excess return you earn per unit of total risk (volatility).Click for full definition →
XLU.US
0.37
VS
VPU.US
0.36
Sortino RatioSortino RatioLike Sharpe, but only penalizes downside volatility — a more accurate risk measure for asymmetric return distributions.Click for full definition →
XLU.US
0.60
VS
VPU.US
0.58
Ann. VolatilityAnnualized VolatilityThe annualized standard deviation of an asset's returns — a measure of how much prices fluctuate.Click for full definition →
lower is better
XLU.US
+15.3%
VS
VPU.US
+15.0%
% Positive Years% Positive YearsThe percentage of calendar years in the measurement period where the asset delivered a positive return.Click for full definition →
XLU.US
+90.0%
VS
VPU.US
+80.0%
Dividend YieldDividend YieldAnnual dividend paid per share divided by the current share price — expressed as a percentage income return.Click for full definition →
XLU.US
+2.6%
VS
VPU.US
+2.6%
10Y Income ($10k)
XLU.US
$0
VS
VPU.US
$0
BetaBetaA measure of an asset's sensitivity to broad market movements relative to a benchmark (e.g. S&P 500).Click for full definition →
lower = less market sensitivity
XLU.US
0.49
VS
VPU.US
0.50

XLU.US vs VPU.US: In-Depth AnalysisiData-driven narrative breakdown of volatility, sector exposure, and income characteristics.

Volatility & Variance: Reading the Risk Fingerprint

XLU.US (Utilities Select Sector SPDR® Fund) carries an annualised volatility of 15.3%, categorised as moderate relative to the long-run US equity benchmark of approximately 15%. VPU.US (Vanguard Utilities Index Fund ETF Shares) registers at 15.0%, a moderate reading by the same standard.

XLU.US and VPU.US carry virtually identical annualised volatility — both within a fraction of a percentage point of each other — making the risk profile of either fund essentially interchangeable on this dimension.

On the downside, XLU.US's maximum peak-to-trough drawdown of 18.9% represents a notable pullback over the study period. VPU.US's worst drawdown of 19.1% was a notable pullback. XLU.US demonstrated stronger capital preservation during the period's worst stress events, which is particularly relevant for US investors approaching retirement or drawing down a portfolio.

When evaluating these two funds for a US-domiciled portfolio, it is important to consider that volatility and drawdown metrics are calculated on trailing historical data. Past standard deviations do not guarantee future behaviour, particularly around US Federal Reserve policy shifts, which have historically been the primary driver of cross-asset correlation breakdowns.

US Market Sector Exposure & Concentration Risk

XLU.US is positioned primarily within US Equity. VPU.US's exposure tilts toward US Equity. This sector divergence is one of the key structural drivers of the return and risk differences observed between the two funds over the study window.

For US investors building a diversified portfolio, the sector overlap — or lack thereof — between these two funds directly affects the marginal diversification benefit of holding both. Because both funds draw from the same US sector universe, holding both is unlikely to meaningfully reduce concentration risk beyond what either fund provides individually. An allocation to an uncorrelated asset class — such as US Treasury bonds (TLT) or commodities (PDBC) — would provide greater portfolio-level risk reduction.

Sector concentration is particularly consequential in the US equity market, where the top five S&P 500 holdings — Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Nvidia (NVDA), Amazon (AMZN), and Alphabet (GOOGL) — have at times represented over 25% of the total index by market capitalisation. Funds with heavy US Technology exposure amplify this mega-cap concentration risk, while broader market or equal-weight funds dilute it.

Dividend Yield, Income Generation & US Tax Considerations

XLU.US currently yields 2.64% annually, while VPU.US yields 2.64%. On a $10,000 initial investment held over the study period, XLU.US generated approximately $0 in cumulative income distributions versus $0 for VPU.US — a gap of $0 in favour of XLU.US.

For US taxable account holders, the character of dividend distributions matters as much as the yield itself. Qualified dividends — those from US corporations held longer than the required 60-day holding period — are taxed at preferential long-term capital gains rates (0%, 15%, or 20% depending on income bracket). Non-qualified or ordinary dividends are taxed as ordinary income, which can reach 37% for high earners. US investors should consult their own tax advisors to understand which distribution category applies to each fund's payout history.

Income-focused US investors — particularly those using tax-advantaged accounts such as a 401(k), IRA, or Roth IRA — can compound dividend distributions without immediate tax drag. In a taxable brokerage account, a higher-yielding fund may generate less after-tax wealth than a lower-yielding fund with equivalent total return, depending on the investor's marginal tax rate. The total return (price appreciation plus reinvested dividends) is generally the more complete measure of long-term performance.

VPU.US's higher yield of 2.64% may offer more immediate income utility for US investors prioritising cash flow, though XLU.US's lower yield may reflect greater internal reinvestment and growth orientation within its underlying holdings.

Historical Trajectory

Growth of $10,000 Over 10 Years

Annual Returns Comparison

Performance Consistency

Rolling 12-Month Returns

Risk & Factor X-Ray AnalysisiAnalyzes downside volatility and macro factor exposures.

Proprietary StressScore™= round((Annualised Volatility × 0.5 + |Max Drawdown| × 0.5) × 100)

17/100
XLU.US
Low Stress
Vol
15.3%
MDD
-18.9%
17/100
VPU.US
Low Stress
Vol
15.0%
MDD
-19.1%

Historical Drawdowns

Return Correlation

100%
Pearson Correlation Coefficient

Highly correlated. Moving almost perfectly in tandem, providing minimal diversification benefit when held together.

Risk X-Ray Macro Factor Exposure Mapping

XLU.US Factor Exposure
View full factor risk breakdown
FactorRisk Exposure
VTI.US3.6%
VEA.US-2.6%
VWO.US0.8%
QQQ.US-2.8%
VTV.US8.0%
IJR.US-5.3%
QUAL.US2.7%
SHV.US70.1%
TLT.US-1.4%
LQD.US2.5%
HYG.US-0.1%
GLD.US2.0%
USO.US0.2%
VNQ.US8.1%
BTC-USD.CC0.7%
CPER.US-0.9%
VIX.INDX2.4%
UUP.US-0.3%
TIP.US5.6%
Idiosyncratic6.8%
VPU.US Factor Exposure
View full factor risk breakdown
FactorRisk Exposure
VTI.US3.1%
VEA.US-2.5%
VWO.US0.7%
QQQ.US-2.7%
VTV.US8.7%
IJR.US-5.3%
QUAL.US2.3%
SHV.US69.9%
TLT.US-1.6%
LQD.US3.4%
HYG.US-0.3%
GLD.US2.0%
USO.US0.1%
VNQ.US8.4%
BTC-USD.CC0.8%
CPER.US-0.8%
VIX.INDX2.2%
UUP.US-0.4%
TIP.US5.5%
Idiosyncratic6.5%

XLU.US vs VPU.US: Fees, Fund Structure & Portfolio Fundamentals

Side-by-side metric evaluation across valuation, profitability, fees, structure, and balance-sheet health.

Metric
XLU.US
VPU.US
Fund Structure & Fees
Expense Ratio
0.09%
0.10%
Assets Under Management (AUM)
$23.8B
$8.9B
Holdings Count
31
68
Valuation Multiples
Portfolio P/E Ratio
Price-to-Sales (P/S)
2.70x
2.70x
Price-to-Book (P/B)
2.14x
2.07x
Dividend Yield
Annual Dividend Yield
2.6%
2.6%
Market Sentiment
Short Squeeze Risk
Low
Low

Momentum & Macro PositioningiCompares relative price trends, moving averages, and market sensitivity.

50-Day SMA

XLU.US-1.2%
VPU.US-1.5%

200-Day SMA

XLU.US-0.1%
VPU.US-0.5%

Beta (Market Risk)

XLU.US0.49
VPU.US0.50

Trend SignalGolden Cross & Death CrossTechnical chart patterns that occur when a short-term moving average crosses over a long-term moving average.Click for full definition →

XLU.US
GOLDEN CROSS
VPU.US
GOLDEN CROSS

RSI (14-Day)Relative Strength Index (RSI)A momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements to identify overbought or oversold conditions.Click for full definition →

XLU.US
35
Neutral
VPU.US
33
Neutral

Frequently Asked Questions

How did XLU.US compare to VPU.US historically?

XLU.US (Utilities Select Sector SPDR® Fund) led across 10 measured metrics over the 20162026 study window, including higher risk-adjusted returns. That said, VPU.US may appeal to investors prioritizing income or lower volatility. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

What is the 10-year CAGR of XLU.US vs VPU.US?

Over the 20162026 study period, XLU.US produced an annualized return (CAGR) of 9.6% while VPU.US produced 9.4%. A ${10,000} investment in XLU.US would have grown to approximately $23,355, compared to $23,002 for VPU.US.

What is the maximum drawdown of XLU.US vs VPU.US?

XLU.US experienced a peak-to-trough drawdown of 18.9% (2023 was its worst year at -7.2%), versus 19.1% for VPU.US (worst year 2023 at -7.4%). A smaller maximum drawdown indicates lower downside risk and is particularly important for investors close to or in retirement.

How correlated are XLU.US and VPU.US?

XLU.US and VPU.US have a Pearson return correlation of 100% over the study period. This very high correlation means the two ETFs move almost in lockstep. Holding both in the same portfolio provides minimal diversification benefit — you're largely doubling exposure to the same risk factors.

Which ETF has a better Sharpe ratio — XLU.US or VPU.US?

XLU.US has a Sharpe ratio of 0.37 versus 0.36 for VPU.US. The Sharpe ratio measures return per unit of risk (volatility) relative to a risk-free rate. XLU.US delivered better risk-adjusted returns over the study period. XLU.US had annualized volatility of 15.3% vs 15.0% for VPU.US.

Which ETF pays a higher dividend — XLU.US or VPU.US?

XLU.US has a dividend yield of 2.64%, while VPU.US yields 2.64%. On a $10,000 investment, XLU.US paid approximately $0 in cumulative income vs $0 for VPU.US over the study period. Income-focused investors should weigh dividend yield alongside total return (price appreciation + dividends), since a lower-yielding ETF can still produce superior total returns through capital gains.

Popular ETF Comparisons

Build a Portfolio with XLU.US or VPU.US

Want to see how exactly these ETFs impact your actual portfolio? Run a Monte Carlo simulation or DCA backtest instantly on StressTest.pro.

Run a Custom Backtest