Volatility & Variance: Reading the Risk Fingerprint
VGT.US (Vanguard Information Technology Index Fund ETF Shares) carries an annualised volatility of 20.8%, categorised as elevated relative to the long-run US equity benchmark of approximately 15%. XLK.US (Technology Select Sector SPDR® Fund) registers at 20.9%, a elevated reading by the same standard.
VGT.US and XLK.US carry virtually identical annualised volatility — both within a fraction of a percentage point of each other — making the risk profile of either fund essentially interchangeable on this dimension.
On the downside, VGT.US's maximum peak-to-trough drawdown of 32.5% represents a severe bear-market drawdown over the study period. XLK.US's worst drawdown of 31.2% was a severe bear-market drawdown. XLK.US demonstrated stronger capital preservation characteristics, absorbing market shocks with less peak-to-trough damage.
When evaluating these two funds for a US-domiciled portfolio, it is important to consider that volatility and drawdown metrics are calculated on trailing historical data. Past standard deviations do not guarantee future behaviour, particularly around US Federal Reserve policy shifts, which have historically been the primary driver of cross-asset correlation breakdowns.