Volatility & Variance: Reading the Risk Fingerprint
VGRO.TO (Vanguard Growth Portfolio) carries an annualised volatility of 10.9%, categorised as moderate relative to the long-run US equity benchmark of approximately 15%. VEQT.TO (Vanguard All-Equity ETF Portfolio) registers at 12.6%, a moderate reading by the same standard.
VEQT.TO is marginally more volatile than VGRO.TO by 1.7% annualised. For most US long-term investors this difference is unlikely to be psychologically meaningful, though it will compound over multi-decade holding periods.
On the downside, VGRO.TO's maximum peak-to-trough drawdown of 16.1% represents a notable pullback over the study period. VEQT.TO's worst drawdown of 17.9% was a notable pullback. VGRO.TO demonstrated stronger capital preservation during the period's worst stress events, which is particularly relevant for US investors approaching retirement or drawing down a portfolio.
When evaluating these two funds for a US-domiciled portfolio, it is important to consider that volatility and drawdown metrics are calculated on trailing historical data. Past standard deviations do not guarantee future behaviour, particularly around US Federal Reserve policy shifts, which have historically been the primary driver of cross-asset correlation breakdowns.