Volatility & Variance: Reading the Risk Fingerprint
VFV.TO (Vanguard S&P 500 Index ETF) carries an annualised volatility of 12.9%, categorised as moderate relative to the long-run US equity benchmark of approximately 15%. ZSP.TO (BMO S&P 500 Index ETF) registers at 12.8%, a moderate reading by the same standard.
VFV.TO and ZSP.TO carry virtually identical annualised volatility — both within a fraction of a percentage point of each other — making the risk profile of either fund essentially interchangeable on this dimension.
On the downside, VFV.TO's maximum peak-to-trough drawdown of 18.5% represents a notable pullback over the study period. ZSP.TO's worst drawdown of 18.6% was a notable pullback. VFV.TO demonstrated stronger capital preservation during the period's worst stress events, which is particularly relevant for US investors approaching retirement or drawing down a portfolio.
When evaluating these two funds for a US-domiciled portfolio, it is important to consider that volatility and drawdown metrics are calculated on trailing historical data. Past standard deviations do not guarantee future behaviour, particularly around US Federal Reserve policy shifts, which have historically been the primary driver of cross-asset correlation breakdowns.