Volatility & Variance: Reading the Risk Fingerprint
SIZE.US (iShares MSCI USA Size Factor ETF) carries an annualised volatility of 16.6%, categorised as moderate relative to the long-run US equity benchmark of approximately 15%. IWM.US (iShares Russell 2000 ETF) registers at 20.8%, a elevated reading by the same standard.
IWM.US is marginally more volatile than SIZE.US by 4.3% annualised. For most US long-term investors this difference is unlikely to be psychologically meaningful, though it will compound over multi-decade holding periods.
On the downside, SIZE.US's maximum peak-to-trough drawdown of 26.3% represents a severe bear-market drawdown over the study period. IWM.US's worst drawdown of 32.3% was a severe bear-market drawdown. SIZE.US demonstrated stronger capital preservation during the period's worst stress events, which is particularly relevant for US investors approaching retirement or drawing down a portfolio.
When evaluating these two funds for a US-domiciled portfolio, it is important to consider that volatility and drawdown metrics are calculated on trailing historical data. Past standard deviations do not guarantee future behaviour, particularly around US Federal Reserve policy shifts, which have historically been the primary driver of cross-asset correlation breakdowns.