Volatility & Variance: Reading the Risk Fingerprint
IBB.US (iShares Biotechnology ETF) carries an annualised volatility of 19.5%, categorised as elevated relative to the long-run US equity benchmark of approximately 15%. XBI.US (SPDR® S&P Biotech ETF) registers at 27.0%, a high reading by the same standard.
XBI.US carries meaningfully higher annualised volatility than IBB.US — a 7.5% gap that, under normal return distributions, implies a wider range of year-over-year outcomes and a greater likelihood of a 20%-or-more drawdown in any given calendar year.
On the downside, IBB.US's maximum peak-to-trough drawdown of 33.6% represents a severe bear-market drawdown over the study period. XBI.US's worst drawdown of 56.7% was a catastrophic peak-to-trough collapse. IBB.US demonstrated stronger capital preservation during the period's worst stress events, which is particularly relevant for US investors approaching retirement or drawing down a portfolio.
When evaluating these two funds for a US-domiciled portfolio, it is important to consider that volatility and drawdown metrics are calculated on trailing historical data. Past standard deviations do not guarantee future behaviour, particularly around US Federal Reserve policy shifts, which have historically been the primary driver of cross-asset correlation breakdowns.