Volatility & Variance: Reading the Risk Fingerprint
EQQQ.XETRA (Invesco EQQQ NASDAQ-100 UCITS ETF) carries an annualised volatility of 18.2%, categorised as elevated relative to the long-run US equity benchmark of approximately 15%. XDWD.XETRA (db x-trackers MSCI World Index UCITS DR 1C) registers at 13.2%, a moderate reading by the same standard.
EQQQ.XETRA carries meaningfully higher annualised volatility than XDWD.XETRA — a 5.0% gap that, under normal return distributions, implies a wider range of year-over-year outcomes and a greater likelihood of a 20%-or-more drawdown in any given calendar year.
On the downside, EQQQ.XETRA's maximum peak-to-trough drawdown of 30.1% represents a severe bear-market drawdown over the study period. XDWD.XETRA's worst drawdown of 18.7% was a notable pullback. XDWD.XETRA demonstrated stronger capital preservation characteristics, absorbing market shocks with less peak-to-trough damage.
When evaluating these two funds for a US-domiciled portfolio, it is important to consider that volatility and drawdown metrics are calculated on trailing historical data. Past standard deviations do not guarantee future behaviour, particularly around US Federal Reserve policy shifts, which have historically been the primary driver of cross-asset correlation breakdowns.