Cardinal Energy Ltd

10-Year Study

CJ.TO · Energy · CA · Common Stock

Executive Summary: Cardinal Energy Ltd has compounded at 7.8% annually over the last 10 years, with a maximum drawdown of 95.0% and an annualized volatility of 100.4%.

1Y CAGR
+106.3%
3Y CAGR
+30.3%
5Y CAGR
+38.4%
10Y CAGR
+7.8%

History & Riski10-year historical performance analysis including CAGR, Max Drawdown, Sharpe & Sortino ratios, annual returns, and rolling volatility — all computed from daily market data.

10-Year Growth of $10,000

Max DrawdownMax DrawdownThe largest peak-to-trough decline in the asset's value over the measurement period.Click for full definition →
95.0%
Sharpe RatioSharpe RatioRisk-adjusted return: how much excess return you earn per unit of total risk (volatility).Click for full definition →
0.49
Sortino RatioSortino RatioLike Sharpe, but only penalizes downside volatility — a more accurate risk measure for asymmetric return distributions.Click for full definition →
0.70
Ann. VolatilityAnnualized VolatilityThe annualized standard deviation of an asset's returns — a measure of how much prices fluctuate.Click for full definition →
59.0%
Best YearBest & Worst YearThe single calendar year with the highest and lowest return in the measured period.Click for full definition →
2021 · +420.7%
Worst YearBest & Worst YearThe single calendar year with the highest and lowest return in the measured period.Click for full definition →
2020 · -68.0%
% Positive Years% Positive YearsThe percentage of calendar years in the measurement period where the asset delivered a positive return.Click for full definition →
60%

Annual Returns

Rolling 12-Month Returns

Rolling 12-Month Annualised Volatility

Historical Drawdowns

Monthly Returns

Monthly Returns Heatmap

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecAnn.
20262.811.315.2-1.1————————30.3%
2025-1.62.51.7-10.48.210.67.52.27.13.813.5-2.848.3%
20242.44.87.90.50.7-4.13.40.6-5.71.13.3-0.314.8%
20231.3-6.30.83.4-5.7-2.810.01.43.31.1-8.4-6.0-8.9%
202223.423.017.9-10.335.0-21.329.4-9.6-14.531.0-11.0-5.987.1%
202126.846.272.43.121.16.7-10.07.024.411.7-13.55.7420.7%
2020-10.2-16.2-76.726.7-17.512.8-3.817.6-27.5-5.746.336.7-68.0%
2019-1.310.113.416.7-20.5-2.54.4-9.411.3-22.06.528.825.5%
2018-9.9-8.15.719.92.25.8-2.6-1.82.8-26.4-32.8-13.5-52.3%
2017-18.7-4.7-9.9-11.6-11.0-14.5-2.8-9.113.52.53.93.5-48.1%
2016———12.18.1-1.3-9.0-4.60.66.76.010.130.0%

Risk X-RayiA 19-factor macroeconomic risk decomposition showing exactly which market forces (equity beta, rates, inflation, credit, commodity, crypto) drive this asset's volatility. Powered by multivariate regression against daily factor returns.

Risk Profile Insight: This asset has an estimated annualized volatility of 100.4%. The dominant macroeconomic risk driver is SHV.US, accounting for 85.7% of variance. Idiosyncratic stock-specific factors contribute 3.3%.

10-Year Historical Price Series (Growth of $10,000)
DateSimulated Value
2016-03-0110000
2016-04-0111205.35613308905
2016-05-0112117.798737870666
2016-06-0111958.788536789487
2016-07-0110885.526226504717
2016-08-0110384.067313564497
2016-09-0110444.007147542467
2016-10-0111141.797290267128
2016-11-0111808.599669765443
2016-12-0113002.194024111646
2017-01-0110575.648594241251
2017-02-0110073.963493248288
2017-03-019078.057497003007
2017-04-018025.378299518219
2017-05-017140.983013277238
2017-06-016106.625048064962
2017-07-015933.364999660718
2017-08-015391.192237226031
2017-09-016117.482074596819
2017-10-016270.1590102010805
2017-11-016514.215919115151
2017-12-016745.153920969894
2018-01-016074.053968469385
2018-02-015584.356834272014
2018-03-015900.115355906901
2018-04-017072.900409400375
2018-05-017230.327294112325
2018-06-017649.90613195811
2018-07-017448.598765013231
2018-08-017314.243061681481
2018-09-017519.39562552306
2018-10-015537.762095406121
2018-11-013722.8291601637598
2018-12-013220.013118907059
2019-01-013176.8112008323724
2019-02-013497.3196715749473
2019-03-013965.9813168668434
2019-04-014626.409768740055
2019-05-013676.7700333194166
2019-06-013586.258497486441
2019-07-013745.383525606017
2019-08-013392.261563713718
2019-09-013777.2603015667123
2019-10-012945.269735027019
2019-11-013136.198197796852
2019-12-014040.5742110044675
2020-01-013627.3757392880025
2020-02-013040.404739426476
2020-03-01708.9026811065677
2020-04-01897.943076997667
2020-05-01740.4095822783161
2020-06-01834.9296117006339
2020-07-01803.4229801660564
2020-08-01945.2034624599357
2020-09-01685.272555784726
2020-10-01645.8890135816565
2020-11-01945.2034624599357
2020-12-011291.778027163313
2021-01-011638.3519851830563
2021-02-012394.5161303005757
2021-03-014127.389290863925
2021-04-014253.414199179211
2021-05-015151.358287316269
2021-06-015497.93372834045
2021-07-014946.564002678892
2021-08-015293.138365154392
2021-09-016584.918819052241
2021-10-017356.835032865136
2021-11-016364.369634529199
2021-12-016726.698357616024
2022-01-018302.036270818413
2022-02-0110208.19903935405
2022-03-0112035.59162265608
2022-04-0110791.072632769183
2022-05-0114571.88405587439
2022-06-0111463.466845414867
2022-07-0114832.691148535883
2022-08-0113409.230146666718
2022-09-0111471.470755190774
2022-10-0115025.177574878186
2022-11-0113366.912210543902
2022-12-0112582.599158169594
2023-01-0112745.330583447665
2023-02-0111944.469358631406
2023-03-0112043.730351017351
2023-04-0112450.539500336234
2023-05-0111746.412228341853
2023-06-0111421.724854288728
2023-07-0112568.689115806052
2023-08-0112745.06633902035
2023-09-0113166.759460163446
2023-10-0113306.849991489784
2023-11-0112193.693916987086
2023-12-0111467.664556888769
2024-01-0111741.405605355765
2024-02-0112309.720948648928
2024-03-0113277.60082975784
2024-04-0113348.914468672116
2024-05-0113445.088654727559
2024-06-0112891.518150478516
2024-07-0113333.558092524785
2024-08-0113408.69842216604
2024-09-0112647.149218293316
2024-10-0112784.3772814152
2024-11-0113202.12615002488
2024-12-0113163.003953649539
2025-01-0112957.23088608242
2025-02-0113284.121735094739
2025-03-0113512.501183055736
2025-04-0112107.19107697133
2025-05-0113096.522212834718
2025-06-0114480.51911839606
2025-07-0115572.565838076765
2025-08-0115917.692788219794
2025-09-0117049.65659465515
2025-10-0117689.317933323073
2025-11-0120084.554534143837
2025-12-0119525.457465336684
2026-01-0120062.88027866368
2026-02-0122324.760806134218
2026-03-0125717.581597340024
2026-04-0125446.155934043563
Annual Return Matrix
YearAnnual Return
2017-0.4812295595296082
2018-0.5226182891251132
20190.2548315990637715
2020-0.6802984032207187
20214.207317523729331
20220.8705460672134155
2023-0.08860924418441185
20240.14783650047928543
20250.4833587784438145
20260.3032296927853204
Total Factor Risk
1.0043840514494469
VTI.US Exposure
0.005052322419058555
VEA.US Exposure
-0.0005461359136739985
VWO.US Exposure
0.006439940987086183
QQQ.US Exposure
-0.00035032326531851286
VTV.US Exposure
0.000932569892167299
IJR.US Exposure
0.011003113007578176
QUAL.US Exposure
0.0037897189611892715
SHV.US Exposure
0.8566326307765587
TLT.US Exposure
0.01100953101462024
LQD.US Exposure
0.0006032840694672004
HYG.US Exposure
0.0052906588333873515
GLD.US Exposure
0.0011182241925088356
USO.US Exposure
0.029798404457292593
VNQ.US Exposure
0.006875902948278929
BTC-USD.CC Exposure
-0.00002248025040098228
CPER.US Exposure
-0.0004643441939015628
VIX.INDX Exposure
-0.00002543664564578907
UUP.US Exposure
0.0024087004606878778
TIP.US Exposure
0.027442867905483035
Idiosyncratic Exposure
0.03301085034357658
Value Score
16.3
Growth Score
50
Profit Score
37.5
Health Score
23.6
Yield Score
81.5
Moat Score
40

Factor Risk Decomposition

Share of annualised volatility attributable to each macro factor.

Total Est. Vol
100.4%

FundamentalsiCompany financial health metrics: P/E valuation, dividend yield, Piotroski F-Score (9-point profitability signal), Altman Z-Score (bankruptcy risk proxy), and a radar chart across 6 fundamental dimensions. Note: ETFs may show N/A for some metrics.

Fundamental Dimensions

Core Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)P/E RatioPrice-to-Earnings ratio — the market price of a stock divided by its earnings per share, a key valuation measure.Click for full definition →84.2x
Dividend YieldDividend YieldAnnual dividend paid per share divided by the current share price — expressed as a percentage income return.Click for full definition →6.79%
Market Cap$1.9B
Piotroski F-ScorePiotroski F-ScoreA 9-point scoring system evaluating a company's financial strength across profitability, leverage, and operating efficiency.Click for full definition →
9-point profitability signal
0.0/ 9
Weak
Altman Z-ScoreAltman Z-ScoreA bankruptcy prediction model that combines 5 financial ratios into a single score indicating financial distress risk.Click for full definition →
Bankruptcy risk proxy
1.18
Distress Zone
Income Simulation

Based on $10,000 initial investment.

Total Income Generated
$543
Avg Yield on Cost
2.71%
Annual Income Simulation Table
Historical Realised Yields
YearAnnual PayoutYield on CostQuality
2025$135.711.36%Solid
2026$407.144.07%Solid

Momentum & MacroiPrice momentum indicators relative to key technical levels: distance from 50-Day SMA (intermediate trend), 200-Day SMA (long-term trend), 52-Week High (bullish proximity), and Beta (market sensitivity coefficient).

vs 50-Day SMAMoving Averages (SMA)A rolling average of an asset's price over a defined window — used to identify trends and momentum signals.Click for full definition →
+8.3%
Above/below 50-day moving average
vs 200-Day SMAMoving Averages (SMA)A rolling average of an asset's price over a defined window — used to identify trends and momentum signals.Click for full definition →
+33.3%
Above/below 200-day moving average
vs 52-Week High52-Week HighThe highest price an asset reached in the past 52 weeks — a key reference for momentum and valuation context.Click for full definition →
5.6% from high
Distance from 52-week high
BetaBetaA measure of an asset's sensitivity to broad market movements relative to a benchmark (e.g. S&P 500).Click for full definition →
1.02
Market sensitivity coefficient

Frequently Asked Questions & Methodology

Is Cardinal Energy Ltd a high-risk investment?

Cardinal Energy Ltd (CJ.TO) has an annualized volatility of 100.4% and experienced a maximum drawdown of 95.0% over the last 10 years. Its primary macro risk driver is SHV.US.

What is the 10-year return of CJ.TO?

Over the past 10 years, CJ.TO has generated a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 7.8%. It has had a positive return in 60% of the years measured.

Data Methodology & Trust

The risk and return information on this page is pre-calculated mathematically using daily market data spanning a 10-year period. Fundamentals (such as P/E Ratio, Market Cap, and Dividend Yield) represent trailing averages and may not immediately reflect real-time live market fluctuations. Advanced scoring models like the Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score are proxies applied to publicly available trailing-twelve-month financial statements and may not account for recent off-balance-sheet events, qualitative company shifts, or sector-specific capital structures. Macroeconomic factor exposures are estimated via multivariate regression against standard market indices. This data is provided for quantitative insight and backtesting research, and should not be misconstrued as tailored financial advice.

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