Certara Inc

10-Year Study

CERT.US · Healthcare · US · Common Stock

Executive Summary: Certara Inc has compounded at -27.3% annually over the last 10 years, with a maximum drawdown of 86.2% and an annualized volatility of 110.4%.

1Y CAGR
-48.7%
3Y CAGR
-34.1%
5Y CAGR
-25.6%
10Y CAGR
-27.3%

History & Riski10-year historical performance analysis including CAGR, Max Drawdown, Sharpe & Sortino ratios, annual returns, and rolling volatility — all computed from daily market data.

10-Year Growth of $10,000

Max DrawdownMax DrawdownThe largest peak-to-trough decline in the asset's value over the measurement period.Click for full definition →
86.2%
Sharpe RatioSharpe RatioRisk-adjusted return: how much excess return you earn per unit of total risk (volatility).Click for full definition →
-0.33
Sortino RatioSortino RatioLike Sharpe, but only penalizes downside volatility — a more accurate risk measure for asymmetric return distributions.Click for full definition →
-0.67
Ann. VolatilityAnnualized VolatilityThe annualized standard deviation of an asset's returns — a measure of how much prices fluctuate.Click for full definition →
57.3%
Best YearBest & Worst YearThe single calendar year with the highest and lowest return in the measured period.Click for full definition →
2023 · +9.5%
Worst YearBest & Worst YearThe single calendar year with the highest and lowest return in the measured period.Click for full definition →
2022 · -43.5%
% Positive Years% Positive YearsThe percentage of calendar years in the measurement period where the asset delivered a positive return.Click for full definition →
17%

Annual Returns

Rolling 12-Month Returns

Rolling 12-Month Annualised Volatility

Historical Drawdowns

Monthly Returns

Monthly Returns Heatmap

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecAnn.
2026-0.2-19.5-19.58.1————————-30.1%
202533.6-15.8-17.440.0-18.03.0-15.910.212.7-4.8-21.2-3.8-17.3%
2024-8.14.55.9-4.3-0.9-18.312.7-21.5-4.4-12.99.9-5.0-39.5%
202320.7-6.633.10.2-14.0-12.46.9-17.0-10.0-16.218.222.19.5%
2022-5.9-5.2-15.2-14.610.75.67.1-31.8-15.3-7.938.8-5.4-43.5%
20212.10.7-21.216.5-17.37.7-4.023.4-1.424.8-34.85.5-15.7%

Risk X-RayiA 19-factor macroeconomic risk decomposition showing exactly which market forces (equity beta, rates, inflation, credit, commodity, crypto) drive this asset's volatility. Powered by multivariate regression against daily factor returns.

Risk Profile Insight: This asset has an estimated annualized volatility of 110.4%. The dominant macroeconomic risk driver is SHV.US, accounting for 66.3% of variance. Idiosyncratic stock-specific factors contribute 11.1%.

10-Year Historical Price Series (Growth of $10,000)
DateSimulated Value
2020-12-0110000
2021-01-0110207.59193357058
2021-02-0110275.800711743772
2021-03-018096.085409252669
2021-04-019433.570581257414
2021-05-017802.491103202847
2021-06-018401.542111506524
2021-07-018069.395017793595
2021-08-019955.516014234876
2021-09-019816.132858837487
2021-10-0112250.889679715305
2021-11-017986.358244365362
2021-12-018428.2325029656
2022-01-017927.046263345196
2022-02-017514.827995255041
2022-03-016370.106761565837
2022-04-015441.874258600238
2022-05-016026.097271648874
2022-06-016364.175563463819
2022-07-016817.912218268089
2022-08-014647.093712930012
2022-09-013938.3155397390274
2022-10-013626.9276393831556
2022-11-015035.587188612099
2022-12-014765.717674970345
2023-01-015753.262158956109
2023-02-015373.6654804270465
2023-03-017150.059311981021
2023-04-017167.852906287071
2023-05-016162.5148279952555
2023-06-015400.355871886121
2023-07-015774.021352313167
2023-08-014792.408066429419
2023-09-014311.981020166074
2023-10-013615.065243179122
2023-11-014273.428232502966
2023-12-015216.488730723607
2024-01-014792.408066429419
2024-02-015005.931198102016
2024-03-015302.491103202847
2024-04-015074.139976275207
2024-05-015026.690391459075
2024-06-014107.3546856465
2024-07-014629.300118623962
2024-08-013632.8588374851724
2024-09-013472.716488730724
2024-10-013024.9110320284694
2024-11-013324.4365361803084
2024-12-013158.3629893238435
2025-01-014220.047449584816
2025-02-013552.787663107948
2025-03-012935.943060498221
2025-04-014110.320284697509
2025-05-013368.9205219454325
2025-06-013469.7508896797153
2025-07-012918.149466192171
2025-08-013214.7093712930014
2025-09-013623.962040332148
2025-10-013448.9916963226574
2025-11-012716.4887307236063
2025-12-012612.6927639383157
2026-01-012606.761565836299
2026-02-012099.644128113879
2026-03-011690.3914590747331
2026-04-011826.8090154211152
Annual Return Matrix
YearAnnual Return
2021-0.15717674970343998
2022-0.43455313159746656
20230.09458618543870556
2024-0.39454235361000567
2025-0.17276995305164322
2026-0.300794551645857
Total Factor Risk
1.1035252537087814
VTI.US Exposure
-0.015355355137911638
VEA.US Exposure
0.014142688998490246
VWO.US Exposure
-0.004956898177358304
QQQ.US Exposure
0.01534442060088607
VTV.US Exposure
0.001431244527972316
IJR.US Exposure
0.03678048962449593
QUAL.US Exposure
0.06583267412522668
SHV.US Exposure
0.6628792556568585
TLT.US Exposure
-0.008320544574635245
LQD.US Exposure
0.057589636777402656
HYG.US Exposure
-0.0024678048529960246
GLD.US Exposure
0.005151081414927187
USO.US Exposure
-0.0013288317098525749
VNQ.US Exposure
0.0025166433317042876
BTC-USD.CC Exposure
0.023810903854589123
CPER.US Exposure
-0.0022619404031400223
VIX.INDX Exposure
0.0015639380764113707
UUP.US Exposure
0.024226978371091876
TIP.US Exposure
0.012301229839664458
Idiosyncratic Exposure
0.11112018965617305
Value Score
50
Growth Score
50
Profit Score
37.5
Health Score
23.6
Yield Score
0
Moat Score
40

Factor Risk Decomposition

Share of annualised volatility attributable to each macro factor.

Total Est. Vol
110.4%

FundamentalsiCompany financial health metrics: P/E valuation, dividend yield, Piotroski F-Score (9-point profitability signal), Altman Z-Score (bankruptcy risk proxy), and a radar chart across 6 fundamental dimensions. Note: ETFs may show N/A for some metrics.

Fundamental Dimensions

Core Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)P/E RatioPrice-to-Earnings ratio — the market price of a stock divided by its earnings per share, a key valuation measure.Click for full definition →N/A
Dividend YieldDividend YieldAnnual dividend paid per share divided by the current share price — expressed as a percentage income return.Click for full definition →0.00%
Market Cap$861.7M
Piotroski F-ScorePiotroski F-ScoreA 9-point scoring system evaluating a company's financial strength across profitability, leverage, and operating efficiency.Click for full definition →
9-point profitability signal
0.0/ 9
Weak
Altman Z-ScoreAltman Z-ScoreA bankruptcy prediction model that combines 5 financial ratios into a single score indicating financial distress risk.Click for full definition →
Bankruptcy risk proxy
1.18
Distress Zone
Income Simulation

Based on $10,000 initial investment.

Total Income Generated
$0
Avg Yield on Cost
0.00%

Momentum & MacroiPrice momentum indicators relative to key technical levels: distance from 50-Day SMA (intermediate trend), 200-Day SMA (long-term trend), 52-Week High (bullish proximity), and Beta (market sensitivity coefficient).

vs 50-Day SMAMoving Averages (SMA)A rolling average of an asset's price over a defined window — used to identify trends and momentum signals.Click for full definition →
-4.5%
Above/below 50-day moving average
vs 200-Day SMAMoving Averages (SMA)A rolling average of an asset's price over a defined window — used to identify trends and momentum signals.Click for full definition →
-34.7%
Above/below 200-day moving average
vs 52-Week High52-Week HighThe highest price an asset reached in the past 52 weeks — a key reference for momentum and valuation context.Click for full definition →
57.4% from high
Distance from 52-week high
BetaBetaA measure of an asset's sensitivity to broad market movements relative to a benchmark (e.g. S&P 500).Click for full definition →
1.62
Market sensitivity coefficient

Frequently Asked Questions & Methodology

Is Certara Inc a high-risk investment?

Certara Inc (CERT.US) has an annualized volatility of 110.4% and experienced a maximum drawdown of 86.2% over the last 10 years. Its primary macro risk driver is SHV.US.

What is the 10-year return of CERT.US?

Over the past 10 years, CERT.US has generated a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of -27.3%. It has had a positive return in 17% of the years measured.

Data Methodology & Trust

The risk and return information on this page is pre-calculated mathematically using daily market data spanning a 10-year period. Fundamentals (such as P/E Ratio, Market Cap, and Dividend Yield) represent trailing averages and may not immediately reflect real-time live market fluctuations. Advanced scoring models like the Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score are proxies applied to publicly available trailing-twelve-month financial statements and may not account for recent off-balance-sheet events, qualitative company shifts, or sector-specific capital structures. Macroeconomic factor exposures are estimated via multivariate regression against standard market indices. This data is provided for quantitative insight and backtesting research, and should not be misconstrued as tailored financial advice.

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