Aya Gold & Silver Inc

10-Year Study

AYA.TO · Basic Materials · CA · Common Stock

Executive Summary: Aya Gold & Silver Inc has compounded at 45.5% annually over the last 10 years, with a maximum drawdown of 71.7% and an annualized volatility of 98.6%.

1Y CAGR
+123.3%
3Y CAGR
+39.2%
5Y CAGR
+27.9%
10Y CAGR
+45.5%

History & Riski10-year historical performance analysis including CAGR, Max Drawdown, Sharpe & Sortino ratios, annual returns, and rolling volatility — all computed from daily market data.

10-Year Growth of $10,000

Max DrawdownMax DrawdownThe largest peak-to-trough decline in the asset's value over the measurement period.Click for full definition →
71.7%
Sharpe RatioSharpe RatioRisk-adjusted return: how much excess return you earn per unit of total risk (volatility).Click for full definition →
1.05
Sortino RatioSortino RatioLike Sharpe, but only penalizes downside volatility — a more accurate risk measure for asymmetric return distributions.Click for full definition →
2.39
Ann. VolatilityAnnualized VolatilityThe annualized standard deviation of an asset's returns — a measure of how much prices fluctuate.Click for full definition →
73.6%
Best YearBest & Worst YearThe single calendar year with the highest and lowest return in the measured period.Click for full definition →
2017 · +192.9%
Worst YearBest & Worst YearThe single calendar year with the highest and lowest return in the measured period.Click for full definition →
2022 · -5.5%
% Positive Years% Positive YearsThe percentage of calendar years in the measurement period where the asset delivered a positive return.Click for full definition →
90%

Annual Returns

Rolling 12-Month Returns

Rolling 12-Month Annualised Volatility

Historical Drawdowns

Monthly Returns

Monthly Returns Heatmap

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecAnn.
202612.533.6-28.116.2————————25.5%
20258.8-1.7-3.1-14.724.53.8-3.615.617.9-7.327.63.282.9%
20246.2-5.319.513.613.4-9.514.7-3.917.61.6-26.3-18.510.6%
2023-10.3-1.136.0-0.9-12.9-9.6-1.1-1.5-11.93.032.8-2.67.6%
2022-10.117.9-11.9-9.9-12.6-6.712.53.94.4-1.44.88.9-5.5%
202118.24.83.453.1-2.624.912.0-2.3-22.418.45.4-1.7148.1%
2020-9.2-53.718.3103.16.6-32.452.115.74.416.5-5.634.197.4%
20190.535.4-15.44.5-6.5-11.61.13.1-11.64.6-6.614.02.1%
201870.7-14.3-12.538.1-13.84.0-0.8-12.84.43.4-14.4-8.216.5%
20170.0-7.17.70.00.035.710.590.5-5.0-15.825.02.5192.9%
2016———21.4-11.86.70.012.5-5.6-17.6-14.316.7-0.0%

Risk X-RayiA 19-factor macroeconomic risk decomposition showing exactly which market forces (equity beta, rates, inflation, credit, commodity, crypto) drive this asset's volatility. Powered by multivariate regression against daily factor returns.

Risk Profile Insight: This asset has an estimated annualized volatility of 98.6%. The dominant macroeconomic risk driver is SHV.US, accounting for 52.7% of variance. Idiosyncratic stock-specific factors contribute 13.1%.

10-Year Historical Price Series (Growth of $10,000)
DateSimulated Value
2016-03-0110000
2016-04-0112142.857142857141
2016-05-0110714.285714285714
2016-06-0111428.571428571428
2016-07-0111428.571428571428
2016-08-0112857.142857142855
2016-09-0112142.857142857141
2016-10-0110000
2016-11-018571.42857142857
2016-12-0110000
2017-01-0110000
2017-02-019285.714285714284
2017-03-0110000
2017-04-0110000
2017-05-0110000
2017-06-0113571.42857142857
2017-07-0114999.999999999998
2017-08-0128571.428571428572
2017-09-0127142.85714285714
2017-10-0122857.142857142855
2017-11-0128571.428571428572
2017-12-0129285.71428571428
2018-01-0149999.99999999999
2018-02-0142857.142857142855
2018-03-0137500
2018-04-0151785.71428571428
2018-05-0144642.85714285714
2018-06-0146428.57142857142
2018-07-0146071.428571428565
2018-08-0140178.57142857142
2018-09-0141964.28571428571
2018-10-0143392.857142857145
2018-11-0137142.85714285714
2018-12-0134107.142857142855
2019-01-0134285.71428571428
2019-02-0146428.57142857142
2019-03-0139285.71428571428
2019-04-0141071.428571428565
2019-05-0138392.85714285714
2019-06-0133928.57142857142
2019-07-0134285.71428571428
2019-08-0135357.142857142855
2019-09-0131249.999999999996
2019-10-0132678.571428571428
2019-11-0130535.714285714283
2019-12-0134821.428571428565
2020-01-0131607.142857142855
2020-02-0114642.85714285714
2020-03-0117321.42857142857
2020-04-0135178.57142857142
2020-05-0137500
2020-06-0125357.14285714285
2020-07-0138571.42857142857
2020-08-0144642.85714285714
2020-09-0146607.14285714285
2020-10-0154285.71428571428
2020-11-0151250
2020-12-0168749.99999999999
2021-01-0181249.99999999999
2021-02-0185178.5714285714
2021-03-0188035.71428571428
2021-04-01134821.42857142855
2021-05-01131249.99999999997
2021-06-01163928.57142857142
2021-07-01183571.42857142855
2021-08-01179285.71428571426
2021-09-01139107.14285714284
2021-10-01164642.85714285716
2021-11-01173571.42857142858
2021-12-01170535.71428571426
2022-01-01153392.85714285713
2022-02-01180892.85714285716
2022-03-01159285.71428571426
2022-04-01143571.42857142855
2022-05-01125535.71428571428
2022-06-01117142.85714285712
2022-07-01131785.71428571426
2022-08-01136964.28571428568
2022-09-01143035.71428571426
2022-10-01141071.42857142855
2022-11-01147857.14285714284
2022-12-01161071.42857142855
2023-01-01144464.28571428568
2023-02-01142857.14285714284
2023-03-01194285.71428571426
2023-04-01192499.99999999997
2023-05-01167678.57142857142
2023-06-01151607.14285714284
2023-07-01150000
2023-08-01147678.57142857142
2023-09-01130178.57142857142
2023-10-01134107.14285714284
2023-11-01178035.71428571426
2023-12-01173392.85714285716
2024-01-01184107.14285714284
2024-02-01174285.71428571426
2024-03-01208214.28571428568
2024-04-01236428.57142857142
2024-05-01268035.71428571426
2024-06-01242499.99999999997
2024-07-01278214.2857142857
2024-08-01267321.4285714285
2024-09-01314285.71428571426
2024-10-01319464.2857142857
2024-11-01235357.14285714284
2024-12-01191785.71428571426
2025-01-01208571.42857142855
2025-02-01205000
2025-03-01198571.42857142855
2025-04-01169285.71428571426
2025-05-01210714.28571428568
2025-06-01218749.99999999997
2025-07-01210892.85714285713
2025-08-01243750
2025-09-01287500
2025-10-01266428.57142857136
2025-11-01339999.99999999994
2025-12-01350714.2857142857
2026-01-01394642.85714285716
2026-02-01527321.4285714285
2026-03-01378928.57142857136
2026-04-01440178.57142857136
Annual Return Matrix
YearAnnual Return
20171.928571428571428
20180.16463414634146334
20190.020942408376963373
20200.9743589743589745
20211.4805194805194808
2022-0.05549738219895295
20230.07649667405764982
20240.10607621009268797
20250.8286778398510242
20260.2550916496945008
Total Factor Risk
0.9861977687625805
VTI.US Exposure
0.1626946723743031
VEA.US Exposure
-0.0016295564592785938
VWO.US Exposure
0.008766441961542611
QQQ.US Exposure
-0.00527239562723981
VTV.US Exposure
-0.011676498055508784
IJR.US Exposure
-0.0060412757477561925
QUAL.US Exposure
0.02235173225502653
SHV.US Exposure
0.5273844801528359
TLT.US Exposure
0.01563194685086381
LQD.US Exposure
0.009095427946200576
HYG.US Exposure
0.002127728387241928
GLD.US Exposure
0.07301090813643746
USO.US Exposure
0.0028349140351386776
VNQ.US Exposure
-0.01228584944227733
BTC-USD.CC Exposure
0.0007032034597247843
CPER.US Exposure
0.03992905157260586
VIX.INDX Exposure
-0.0010788704095956072
UUP.US Exposure
0.013777939145200778
TIP.US Exposure
0.028383597595136027
Idiosyncratic Exposure
0.13129240186939828
Value Score
30.3
Growth Score
50
Profit Score
37.5
Health Score
23.6
Yield Score
0
Moat Score
40

Factor Risk Decomposition

Share of annualised volatility attributable to each macro factor.

Total Est. Vol
98.6%

FundamentalsiCompany financial health metrics: P/E valuation, dividend yield, Piotroski F-Score (9-point profitability signal), Altman Z-Score (bankruptcy risk proxy), and a radar chart across 6 fundamental dimensions. Note: ETFs may show N/A for some metrics.

Fundamental Dimensions

Core Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)P/E RatioPrice-to-Earnings ratio — the market price of a stock divided by its earnings per share, a key valuation measure.Click for full definition →49.3x
Dividend YieldDividend YieldAnnual dividend paid per share divided by the current share price — expressed as a percentage income return.Click for full definition →0.00%
Market Cap$3.1B
Piotroski F-ScorePiotroski F-ScoreA 9-point scoring system evaluating a company's financial strength across profitability, leverage, and operating efficiency.Click for full definition →
9-point profitability signal
0.0/ 9
Weak
Altman Z-ScoreAltman Z-ScoreA bankruptcy prediction model that combines 5 financial ratios into a single score indicating financial distress risk.Click for full definition →
Bankruptcy risk proxy
1.18
Distress Zone
Income Simulation

Based on $10,000 initial investment.

Total Income Generated
$0
Avg Yield on Cost
0.00%

Momentum & MacroiPrice momentum indicators relative to key technical levels: distance from 50-Day SMA (intermediate trend), 200-Day SMA (long-term trend), 52-Week High (bullish proximity), and Beta (market sensitivity coefficient).

vs 50-Day SMAMoving Averages (SMA)A rolling average of an asset's price over a defined window — used to identify trends and momentum signals.Click for full definition →
+7.4%
Above/below 50-day moving average
vs 200-Day SMAMoving Averages (SMA)A rolling average of an asset's price over a defined window — used to identify trends and momentum signals.Click for full definition →
+36.2%
Above/below 200-day moving average
vs 52-Week High52-Week HighThe highest price an asset reached in the past 52 weeks — a key reference for momentum and valuation context.Click for full definition →
16.5% from high
Distance from 52-week high
BetaBetaA measure of an asset's sensitivity to broad market movements relative to a benchmark (e.g. S&P 500).Click for full definition →
1.71
Market sensitivity coefficient

Frequently Asked Questions & Methodology

Is Aya Gold & Silver Inc a high-risk investment?

Aya Gold & Silver Inc (AYA.TO) has an annualized volatility of 98.6% and experienced a maximum drawdown of 71.7% over the last 10 years. Its primary macro risk driver is SHV.US.

What is the 10-year return of AYA.TO?

Over the past 10 years, AYA.TO has generated a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 45.5%. It has had a positive return in 90% of the years measured.

Data Methodology & Trust

The risk and return information on this page is pre-calculated mathematically using daily market data spanning a 10-year period. Fundamentals (such as P/E Ratio, Market Cap, and Dividend Yield) represent trailing averages and may not immediately reflect real-time live market fluctuations. Advanced scoring models like the Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score are proxies applied to publicly available trailing-twelve-month financial statements and may not account for recent off-balance-sheet events, qualitative company shifts, or sector-specific capital structures. Macroeconomic factor exposures are estimated via multivariate regression against standard market indices. This data is provided for quantitative insight and backtesting research, and should not be misconstrued as tailored financial advice.

Run a Full Backtest on Aya Gold & Silver Inc

stresstest.pro lets you simulate DCA vs Lump Sum, Monte Carlo projections, portfolio optimisation, and more — all in seconds.

Start a Free Backtest