Ardagh Metal Packaging SA

10-Year Study

AMBP.US · Consumer Cyclical · US · Common Stock

Executive Summary: Ardagh Metal Packaging SA has compounded at -8.6% annually over the last 10 years, with a maximum drawdown of 66.4% and an annualized volatility of 37.6%.

1Y CAGR
+12.7%
3Y CAGR
+16.3%
5Y CAGR
-9.7%
10Y CAGR
-8.6%

History & Riski10-year historical performance analysis including CAGR, Max Drawdown, Sharpe & Sortino ratios, annual returns, and rolling volatility — all computed from daily market data.

10-Year Growth of $10,000

Max DrawdownMax DrawdownThe largest peak-to-trough decline in the asset's value over the measurement period.Click for full definition →
66.4%
Sharpe RatioSharpe RatioRisk-adjusted return: how much excess return you earn per unit of total risk (volatility).Click for full definition →
-0.26
Sortino RatioSortino RatioLike Sharpe, but only penalizes downside volatility — a more accurate risk measure for asymmetric return distributions.Click for full definition →
-0.44
Ann. VolatilityAnnualized VolatilityThe annualized standard deviation of an asset's returns — a measure of how much prices fluctuate.Click for full definition →
32.1%
Best YearBest & Worst YearThe single calendar year with the highest and lowest return in the measured period.Click for full definition →
2025 · +53.5%
Worst YearBest & Worst YearThe single calendar year with the highest and lowest return in the measured period.Click for full definition →
2022 · -43.5%
% Positive Years% Positive YearsThe percentage of calendar years in the measurement period where the asset delivered a positive return.Click for full definition →
33%

Annual Returns

Rolling 12-Month Returns

Rolling 12-Month Annualised Volatility

Historical Drawdowns

Monthly Returns

Monthly Returns Heatmap

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecAnn.
20267.110.5-16.51.7————————0.5%
2025-8.03.69.222.88.19.7-7.5-4.38.1-10.58.19.353.5%
2024-3.9-11.17.615.20.0-11.78.2-2.78.4-2.40.0-15.9-12.4%
202316.8-14.2-13.30.0-11.56.90.5-5.0-10.37.719.3-2.1-11.5%
20226.6-13.7-2.2-12.3-15.32.610.8-9.0-21.3-6.43.07.6-43.5%
20211.01.9-6.72.3-1.10.0-1.17.2-7.0-1.1-5.1-3.4-13.2%
2020—————————-3.01.84.33.0%

Risk X-RayiA 19-factor macroeconomic risk decomposition showing exactly which market forces (equity beta, rates, inflation, credit, commodity, crypto) drive this asset's volatility. Powered by multivariate regression against daily factor returns.

Risk Profile Insight: This asset has an estimated annualized volatility of 37.6%. The dominant macroeconomic risk driver is VTI.US, accounting for 22.1% of variance. Idiosyncratic stock-specific factors contribute 47.6%.

10-Year Historical Price Series (Growth of $10,000)
DateSimulated Value
2020-09-0110000
2020-10-019702.861335289801
2020-11-019872.780630961115
2020-12-0110296.991929567132
2021-01-0110396.038151137196
2021-02-0110593.983859134261
2021-03-019881.14453411592
2021-04-0110108.877476155538
2021-05-0110000
2021-06-0110000
2021-07-019890.975788701393
2021-08-0110603.961848862802
2021-09-019861.335289801907
2021-10-019752.457813646368
2021-11-019257.373440939105
2021-12-018940.57226705796
2022-01-019534.556126192221
2022-02-018227.732942039618
2022-03-018049.449743213499
2022-04-017059.427732942039
2022-05-015980.190755685987
2022-06-016137.931034482757
2022-07-016802.054292002935
2022-08-016188.261188554658
2022-09-014870.139398385913
2022-10-014560.674981658107
2022-11-014698.312545854732
2022-12-015055.612619222303
2023-01-015906.9699192956705
2023-02-015066.1775495231095
2023-03-014392.5165077035945
2023-04-014392.5165077035945
2023-05-013886.4269992663244
2023-06-014154.8055759354365
2023-07-014176.815847395451
2023-08-013966.8378576669106
2023-09-013559.2076302274395
2023-10-013831.988261188554
2023-11-014571.239911958914
2023-12-014475.862068965517
2024-01-014301.100513573001
2024-02-013823.184152604549
2024-03-014115.627292736611
2024-04-014739.5451210564925
2024-05-014739.5451210564925
2024-06-014187.234042553191
2024-07-014532.061628760088
2024-08-014408.950843727072
2024-09-014777.842993396918
2024-10-014663.829787234043
2024-11-014663.829787234043
2024-12-013920.3228173147463
2025-01-013607.776962582538
2025-02-013738.077769625825
2025-03-014080.7043286867206
2025-04-015013.059427732942
2025-05-015418.341892883345
2025-06-015946.148202494497
2025-07-015501.687454145268
2025-08-015262.802641232574
2025-09-015690.68231841526
2025-10-015091.709464416728
2025-11-015502.567865003668
2025-12-016016.140865737343
2026-01-016441.67278063096
2026-02-017116.654438738077
2026-03-015942.773294203961
2026-04-016045.487894350697
Annual Return Matrix
YearAnnual Return
2021-0.13172970045885946
2022-0.4345314295092729
2023-0.11467463864863292
2024-0.12411893912074223
20250.5346034360145224
20260.004878048780487809
Total Factor Risk
0.37572081195810875
VTI.US Exposure
0.22135324170485363
VEA.US Exposure
0.10613544579735978
VWO.US Exposure
0.11489591676629667
QQQ.US Exposure
-0.06281246627654029
VTV.US Exposure
-0.0044814212500370616
IJR.US Exposure
0.04006237418162545
QUAL.US Exposure
-0.08914365203081254
SHV.US Exposure
0.04790236474385475
TLT.US Exposure
0.06178895489946198
LQD.US Exposure
-0.03136478559695864
HYG.US Exposure
-0.02380395976172672
GLD.US Exposure
-0.0252930317131801
USO.US Exposure
0.03987822789980993
VNQ.US Exposure
0.044833670006644885
BTC-USD.CC Exposure
0.012280467682814645
CPER.US Exposure
0.1145086072123357
VIX.INDX Exposure
-0.019870960524062665
UUP.US Exposure
-0.01636076907914005
TIP.US Exposure
-0.006377981062583453
Idiosyncratic Exposure
0.475869756399984
Value Score
50
Growth Score
50
Profit Score
37.5
Health Score
23.6
Yield Score
100
Moat Score
40

Factor Risk Decomposition

Share of annualised volatility attributable to each macro factor.

Total Est. Vol
37.6%

FundamentalsiCompany financial health metrics: P/E valuation, dividend yield, Piotroski F-Score (9-point profitability signal), Altman Z-Score (bankruptcy risk proxy), and a radar chart across 6 fundamental dimensions. Note: ETFs may show N/A for some metrics.

Fundamental Dimensions

Core Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)P/E RatioPrice-to-Earnings ratio — the market price of a stock divided by its earnings per share, a key valuation measure.Click for full definition →N/A
Dividend YieldDividend YieldAnnual dividend paid per share divided by the current share price — expressed as a percentage income return.Click for full definition →9.73%
Market Cap$2.4B
Piotroski F-ScorePiotroski F-ScoreA 9-point scoring system evaluating a company's financial strength across profitability, leverage, and operating efficiency.Click for full definition →
9-point profitability signal
0.0/ 9
Weak
Altman Z-ScoreAltman Z-ScoreA bankruptcy prediction model that combines 5 financial ratios into a single score indicating financial distress risk.Click for full definition →
Bankruptcy risk proxy
1.18
Distress Zone
Income Simulation

Based on $10,000 initial investment.

Total Income Generated
$147
Avg Yield on Cost
1.47%
Annual Income Simulation Table
Historical Realised Yields
YearAnnual PayoutYield on CostQuality
2026$146.741.47%Solid

Momentum & MacroiPrice momentum indicators relative to key technical levels: distance from 50-Day SMA (intermediate trend), 200-Day SMA (long-term trend), 52-Week High (bullish proximity), and Beta (market sensitivity coefficient).

vs 50-Day SMAMoving Averages (SMA)A rolling average of an asset's price over a defined window — used to identify trends and momentum signals.Click for full definition →
-6.2%
Above/below 50-day moving average
vs 200-Day SMAMoving Averages (SMA)A rolling average of an asset's price over a defined window — used to identify trends and momentum signals.Click for full definition →
+3.0%
Above/below 200-day moving average
vs 52-Week High52-Week HighThe highest price an asset reached in the past 52 weeks — a key reference for momentum and valuation context.Click for full definition →
16.1% from high
Distance from 52-week high
BetaBetaA measure of an asset's sensitivity to broad market movements relative to a benchmark (e.g. S&P 500).Click for full definition →
0.63
Market sensitivity coefficient

Frequently Asked Questions & Methodology

Is Ardagh Metal Packaging SA a high-risk investment?

Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP.US) has an annualized volatility of 37.6% and experienced a maximum drawdown of 66.4% over the last 10 years. Its primary macro risk driver is VTI.US.

What is the 10-year return of AMBP.US?

Over the past 10 years, AMBP.US has generated a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of -8.6%. It has had a positive return in 33% of the years measured.

Data Methodology & Trust

The risk and return information on this page is pre-calculated mathematically using daily market data spanning a 10-year period. Fundamentals (such as P/E Ratio, Market Cap, and Dividend Yield) represent trailing averages and may not immediately reflect real-time live market fluctuations. Advanced scoring models like the Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score are proxies applied to publicly available trailing-twelve-month financial statements and may not account for recent off-balance-sheet events, qualitative company shifts, or sector-specific capital structures. Macroeconomic factor exposures are estimated via multivariate regression against standard market indices. This data is provided for quantitative insight and backtesting research, and should not be misconstrued as tailored financial advice.

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