Prologue

10-Year Study

ALPRG.PA · Technology · FR · Common Stock

Executive Summary: Prologue has compounded at -6.7% annually over the last 10 years, with a maximum drawdown of 72.0% and an annualized volatility of 43.0%.

1Y CAGR
+54.2%
3Y CAGR
+6.4%
5Y CAGR
+0.3%
10Y CAGR
-6.7%

History & Riski10-year historical performance analysis including CAGR, Max Drawdown, Sharpe & Sortino ratios, annual returns, and rolling volatility — all computed from daily market data.

10-Year Growth of $10,000

Max DrawdownMax DrawdownThe largest peak-to-trough decline in the asset's value over the measurement period.Click for full definition →
72.0%
Sharpe RatioSharpe RatioRisk-adjusted return: how much excess return you earn per unit of total risk (volatility).Click for full definition →
-0.08
Sortino RatioSortino RatioLike Sharpe, but only penalizes downside volatility — a more accurate risk measure for asymmetric return distributions.Click for full definition →
-0.17
Ann. VolatilityAnnualized VolatilityThe annualized standard deviation of an asset's returns — a measure of how much prices fluctuate.Click for full definition →
41.1%
Best YearBest & Worst YearThe single calendar year with the highest and lowest return in the measured period.Click for full definition →
2026 · +42.3%
Worst YearBest & Worst YearThe single calendar year with the highest and lowest return in the measured period.Click for full definition →
2022 · -35.7%
% Positive Years% Positive YearsThe percentage of calendar years in the measurement period where the asset delivered a positive return.Click for full definition →
57%

Annual Returns

Rolling 12-Month Returns

Rolling 12-Month Annualised Volatility

Historical Drawdowns

Monthly Returns

Monthly Returns Heatmap

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecAnn.
2026-0.8-2.4-0.44.135.05.0——————42.3%
20255.031.0-9.10.0-4.44.6-3.22.1-4.53.4-5.39.526.5%
2024-7.6-14.5-6.821.87.0-5.612.3-14.3-3.68.8-6.13.9-10.7%
20233.64.3-1.710.2-14.65.428.2-4.0-8.30.4-14.7-0.90.9%
2022-7.8-12.30.4-2.53.7-12.40.012.5-1.8-1.8-23.47.8-35.7%
20218.09.8-1.50.70.02.2-15.58.89.4-4.5-11.4-3.1-0.9%
20201.5-18.7-24.123.41.5-11.9-5.122.8-10.9-5.341.85.81.8%
2019————-13.9-3.9-1.01.4-6.9-13.8-2.8-10.5-42.0%

Risk X-RayiA 19-factor macroeconomic risk decomposition showing exactly which market forces (equity beta, rates, inflation, credit, commodity, crypto) drive this asset's volatility. Powered by multivariate regression against daily factor returns.

Risk Profile Insight: This asset has an estimated annualized volatility of 43.0%. The dominant macroeconomic risk driver is SHV.US, accounting for 17.0% of variance. Idiosyncratic stock-specific factors contribute 43.8%.

10-Year Historical Price Series (Growth of $10,000)
DateSimulated Value
2019-04-0110000
2019-05-018610.170149042937
2019-06-018271.186901282683
2019-07-018186.441215623651
2019-08-018305.08527657112
2019-09-017728.813906915927
2019-10-016661.017358388703
2019-11-016474.576546864356
2019-12-015796.610556467978
2020-01-015881.356242127009
2020-02-014779.661318311346
2020-03-013627.1188315630247
2020-04-014474.57644583953
2020-05-014542.373196416407
2020-06-014000.000202049652
2020-07-013796.6104554431517
2020-08-014661.0172573638765
2020-09-014152.54263828556
2020-10-013932.2034514727757
2020-11-015576.271369655194
2020-12-015898.305177209163
2021-01-016372.8814209990405
2021-02-017000.000101024826
2021-03-016898.305480283642
2021-04-016949.152790654234
2021-05-016949.152790654234
2021-06-017101.695226890141
2021-07-016000.000303074478
2021-08-016525.423857234949
2021-09-017135.59360217858
2021-10-016813.559794624611
2021-11-016033.898678362917
2021-12-015847.45786683857
2022-01-015389.830558130847
2022-02-014728.814007940753
2022-03-014745.762943022907
2022-04-014627.118882075438
2022-05-014796.6102533935
2022-06-014203.389948656152
2022-07-014203.389948656152
2022-08-014728.814007940753
2022-09-014644.067817157592
2022-10-014559.322131498561
2022-11-013491.525582971336
2022-12-013762.7120801547135
2023-01-013898.305328746402
2023-02-014067.796700064464
2023-03-014000.000202049652
2023-04-014406.779695262653
2023-05-013762.7120801547135
2023-06-013966.1018267612135
2023-07-015084.746190783161
2023-08-014881.355939052531
2023-09-014474.57644583953
2023-10-014491.525380921684
2023-11-013830.508578169525
2023-12-013796.6104554431517
2024-01-013508.4747706155554
2024-02-013000.000151537239
2024-03-012796.6104049307387
2024-04-013406.7798973123054
2024-05-013644.068019207244
2024-06-013440.6780200386784
2024-07-013864.4069534579635
2024-08-013313.559491550132
2024-09-013194.915430602663
2024-10-013474.576395327117
2024-11-013262.7119286174743
2024-12-013389.8307096680855
2025-01-013559.3220809861477
2025-02-014661.0172573638765
2025-03-014237.288323944591
2025-04-014237.288323944591
2025-05-014050.8475124202446
2025-06-014237.288323944591
2025-07-014101.695075352903
2025-08-014186.440761011933
2025-09-014000.000202049652
2025-10-014135.593450641341
2025-11-013915.2544113248023
2025-12-014288.135783831926
2026-01-014254.23747724037
2026-02-014152.542557465699
2026-03-014135.593404169921
2026-04-014305.0849371277045
2026-05-015813.559580451979
2026-06-016101.69518648021
Annual Return Matrix
YearAnnual Return
20200.01754380767010688
2021-0.008620664554127244
2022-0.3565217286141773
20230.009009027150183924
2024-0.1071428713977941
20250.2649999811500314
20260.42292490118577075
Total Factor Risk
0.4302395825557385
VTI.US Exposure
0.004147795105626536
VEA.US Exposure
0.15547954890641252
VWO.US Exposure
-0.003472631463530436
QQQ.US Exposure
0.04464766566851426
VTV.US Exposure
-0.01025060499416654
IJR.US Exposure
0.024401072682883752
QUAL.US Exposure
0.01569648309904006
SHV.US Exposure
0.169538535522525
TLT.US Exposure
-0.003704607977945735
LQD.US Exposure
0.10208067255767948
HYG.US Exposure
0.00446864518490914
GLD.US Exposure
-0.0043419673253333
USO.US Exposure
0.007341959858020515
VNQ.US Exposure
0.02042130915448584
BTC-USD.CC Exposure
0.0039609422874662984
CPER.US Exposure
0.029284212395717598
VIX.INDX Exposure
-0.012082775647919885
UUP.US Exposure
0.0002140106513386336
TIP.US Exposure
0.013792765393973406
Idiosyncratic Exposure
0.438376968940303
Value Score
41.9
Growth Score
25
Profit Score
41.3
Health Score
20.1
Yield Score
0
Moat Score
100

Factor Risk Decomposition

Share of annualised volatility attributable to each macro factor.

Total Est. Vol
43.0%

FundamentalsiCompany financial health metrics: P/E valuation, dividend yield, Piotroski F-Score (9-point profitability signal), Altman Z-Score (bankruptcy risk proxy), and a radar chart across 6 fundamental dimensions. Note: ETFs may show N/A for some metrics.

Fundamental Dimensions

Core Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)P/E RatioPrice-to-Earnings ratio — the market price of a stock divided by its earnings per share, a key valuation measure.Click for full definition →3.4x
Forward P/EForward P/E RatioA valuation metric that compares the current stock price to estimated future earnings per share.Click for full definition →No estimate availableN/A
Dividend YieldDividend YieldAnnual dividend paid per share divided by the current share price — expressed as a percentage income return.Click for full definition →0.00%
Squeeze RiskShort Squeeze RiskA situation where a sharp rise in the price of a stock forces short sellers to buy shares to cover their positions, further driving up the price.Click for full definition →Extreme
Market Cap$34.5M
Piotroski F-ScorePiotroski F-ScoreA 9-point scoring system evaluating a company's financial strength across profitability, leverage, and operating efficiency.Click for full definition →
9-point profitability signal
3.0/ 9
Weak
Altman Z-ScoreAltman Z-ScoreA bankruptcy prediction model that combines 5 financial ratios into a single score indicating financial distress risk.Click for full definition →
Bankruptcy risk proxy
1.01
Distress Zone
Income Simulation

Based on $10,000 initial investment.

Total Income Generated
$0
Avg Yield on Cost
0.00%

Momentum & MacroiPrice momentum indicators: distance from 50/200-Day SMA, 52-Week High proximity, Golden Cross trend signal, RSI momentum gauge, Fibonacci retracement levels, and Beta (market sensitivity).

vs 50-Day SMAMoving Averages (SMA)A rolling average of an asset's price over a defined window — used to identify trends and momentum signals.Click for full definition →
+31.0%
Above/below 50-day moving average
vs 200-Day SMAMoving Averages (SMA)A rolling average of an asset's price over a defined window — used to identify trends and momentum signals.Click for full definition →
+42.8%
Above/below 200-day moving average
vs 52-Week High52-Week HighThe highest price an asset reached in the past 52 weeks — a key reference for momentum and valuation context.Click for full definition →
0.0% from high
Distance from 52-week high
BetaBetaA measure of an asset's sensitivity to broad market movements relative to a benchmark (e.g. S&P 500).Click for full definition →
0.01
Market sensitivity coefficient
Trend SignalGolden Cross & Death CrossTechnical chart patterns that occur when a short-term moving average crosses over a long-term moving average.Click for full definition →
✦ Golden Cross
Bullish — 50 SMA above 200 SMA
RSI (14-Day)Relative Strength Index (RSI)A momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements to identify overbought or oversold conditions.Click for full definition →
84
OversoldNeutralOverbought
Overbought
Fibonacci LevelsFibonacci RetracementTechnical levels based on mathematical ratios that indicate potential support and resistance areas.Click for full definition →
38.2% retracement+15.9%
50.0% retracement+21.8%
61.8% retracement+28.4%
% distance of current price from each 52-week Fibonacci support level.

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Frequently Asked Questions & Methodology

Is Prologue a high-risk investment?

Prologue (ALPRG.PA) has an annualized volatility of 43.0% and experienced a maximum drawdown of 72.0% over the last 10 years. Its primary macro risk driver is SHV.US.

What is the 10-year return of ALPRG.PA?

Over the past 10 years, ALPRG.PA has generated a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of -6.7%. It has had a positive return in 57% of the years measured.

Data Methodology & Trust

The risk and return information on this page is pre-calculated mathematically using daily market data spanning a 10-year period. Fundamentals (such as P/E Ratio, Market Cap, and Dividend Yield) represent trailing averages and may not immediately reflect real-time live market fluctuations. Advanced scoring models like the Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score are proxies applied to publicly available trailing-twelve-month financial statements and may not account for recent off-balance-sheet events, qualitative company shifts, or sector-specific capital structures. Macroeconomic factor exposures are estimated via multivariate regression against standard market indices. This data is provided for quantitative insight and backtesting research, and should not be misconstrued as tailored financial advice.

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