Alligator Energy Ltd

10-Year Study

AGE.AU · Energy · AU · Common Stock

Executive Summary: Alligator Energy Ltd has compounded at 14.6% annually over the last 10 years, with a maximum drawdown of 88.8% and an annualized volatility of 130.7%.

1Y CAGR
+57.4%
3Y CAGR
+14.1%
5Y CAGR
+6.2%
10Y CAGR
+14.6%

History & Riski10-year historical performance analysis including CAGR, Max Drawdown, Sharpe & Sortino ratios, annual returns, and rolling volatility — all computed from daily market data.

10-Year Growth of $10,000

Max DrawdownMax DrawdownThe largest peak-to-trough decline in the asset's value over the measurement period.Click for full definition →
88.8%
Sharpe RatioSharpe RatioRisk-adjusted return: how much excess return you earn per unit of total risk (volatility).Click for full definition →
0.65
Sortino RatioSortino RatioLike Sharpe, but only penalizes downside volatility — a more accurate risk measure for asymmetric return distributions.Click for full definition →
1.96
Ann. VolatilityAnnualized VolatilityThe annualized standard deviation of an asset's returns — a measure of how much prices fluctuate.Click for full definition →
103.7%
Best YearBest & Worst YearThe single calendar year with the highest and lowest return in the measured period.Click for full definition →
2020 · +450.0%
Worst YearBest & Worst YearThe single calendar year with the highest and lowest return in the measured period.Click for full definition →
2019 · -60.0%
% Positive Years% Positive YearsThe percentage of calendar years in the measurement period where the asset delivered a positive return.Click for full definition →
40%

Annual Returns

Rolling 12-Month Returns

Rolling 12-Month Annualised Volatility

Historical Drawdowns

Monthly Returns

Monthly Returns Heatmap

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecAnn.
202696.0-6.1-17.423.7————————88.0%
20250.0-11.813.3-11.83.3-6.5-20.74.333.3-12.5-10.70.0-26.5%
202428.8-22.40.01.70.0-11.7-17.0-11.428.2-8.0-15.2-12.8-42.4%
202320.5-17.0-7.7-8.3-3.06.3-5.946.914.9-7.46.011.351.3%
20229.113.369.1-27.0-11.9-33.826.525.8-28.2-7.1-21.2-4.9-29.1%
20210.018.230.8-5.9118.82.90.02.883.84.4-16.9-6.8400.0%
202025.0-20.00.075.071.4-33.325.020.0-16.70.0-10.0144.4450.0%
2019-20.00.00.00.0-25.0-16.760.0-25.016.7-28.620.0-33.3-60.0%
201818.4-15.6-27.213.3-8.215.411.10.0-55.0-33.316.742.9-51.5%
201746.7-5.6-27.8-7.4-8.8-8.720.2-16.89.6-17.532.9-8.8-15.6%
2016———0.00.07.40.0-6.97.4-13.7-16.829.8-0.0%

Risk X-RayiA 19-factor macroeconomic risk decomposition showing exactly which market forces (equity beta, rates, inflation, credit, commodity, crypto) drive this asset's volatility. Powered by multivariate regression against daily factor returns.

Risk Profile Insight: This asset has an estimated annualized volatility of 130.7%. The dominant macroeconomic risk driver is SHV.US, accounting for 51.5% of variance. Idiosyncratic stock-specific factors contribute 20.9%.

10-Year Historical Price Series (Growth of $10,000)
DateSimulated Value
2016-03-0110000
2016-04-0110000
2016-05-0110000
2016-06-0110737.704918032787
2016-07-0110737.704918032787
2016-08-0110000
2016-09-0110737.704918032787
2016-10-019262.295081967211
2016-11-017704.918032786885
2016-12-0110000
2017-01-0114672.13114754098
2017-02-0113852.45901639344
2017-03-0110000
2017-04-019262.295081967211
2017-05-018442.622950819672
2017-06-017704.918032786885
2017-07-019262.295081967211
2017-08-017704.918032786885
2017-09-018442.622950819672
2017-10-016967.213114754099
2017-11-019262.295081967211
2017-12-018442.622950819672
2018-01-0110000
2018-02-018442.622950819672
2018-03-016147.540983606556
2018-04-016967.213114754099
2018-05-016393.442622950819
2018-06-017377.049180327868
2018-07-018196.721311475409
2018-08-018196.721311475409
2018-09-013688.524590163934
2018-10-012459.0163934426228
2018-11-012868.8524590163934
2018-12-014098.360655737704
2019-01-013278.6885245901635
2019-02-013278.6885245901635
2019-03-013278.6885245901635
2019-04-013278.6885245901635
2019-05-012459.0163934426228
2019-06-012049.180327868852
2019-07-013278.6885245901635
2019-08-012459.0163934426228
2019-09-012868.8524590163934
2019-10-012049.180327868852
2019-11-012459.0163934426228
2019-12-011639.3442622950818
2020-01-012049.180327868852
2020-02-011639.3442622950818
2020-03-011639.3442622950818
2020-04-012868.8524590163934
2020-05-014918.0327868852455
2020-06-013278.6885245901635
2020-07-014098.360655737704
2020-08-014918.0327868852455
2020-09-014098.360655737704
2020-10-014098.360655737704
2020-11-013688.524590163934
2020-12-019016.39344262295
2021-01-019016.39344262295
2021-02-0110655.73770491803
2021-03-0113934.426229508197
2021-04-0113114.754098360654
2021-05-0128688.52459016394
2021-06-0129508.196721311473
2021-07-0129508.196721311473
2021-08-0130327.86885245901
2021-09-0155737.70491803279
2021-10-0158196.7213114754
2021-11-0148360.65573770491
2021-12-0145081.96721311475
2022-01-0149180.32786885245
2022-02-0155737.70491803279
2022-03-0194262.29508196721
2022-04-0168852.45901639343
2022-05-0160655.73770491802
2022-06-0140163.934426229505
2022-07-0150819.67213114754
2022-08-0163934.42622950819
2022-09-0145901.639344262294
2022-10-0142622.95081967212
2022-11-0133606.55737704918
2022-12-0131967.213114754097
2023-01-0138524.59016393442
2023-02-0131967.213114754097
2023-03-0129508.196721311473
2023-04-0127049.180327868853
2023-05-0126229.50819672131
2023-06-0127868.852459016394
2023-07-0126229.50819672131
2023-08-0138524.59016393442
2023-09-0144262.29508196721
2023-10-0140983.60655737705
2023-11-0143442.62295081966
2023-12-0148360.65573770491
2024-01-0162295.08196721311
2024-02-0148360.65573770491
2024-03-0148360.65573770491
2024-04-0149180.32786885245
2024-05-0149180.32786885245
2024-06-0143442.62295081966
2024-07-0136065.5737704918
2024-08-0131967.213114754097
2024-09-0140983.60655737705
2024-10-0137704.91803278688
2024-11-0131967.213114754097
2024-12-0127868.852459016394
2025-01-0127868.852459016394
2025-02-0124590.163934426226
2025-03-0127868.852459016394
2025-04-0124590.163934426226
2025-05-0125409.83606557377
2025-06-0123770.491803278685
2025-07-0118852.45901639344
2025-08-0119672.131147540982
2025-09-0126229.50819672131
2025-10-0122950.819672131147
2025-11-0120491.803278688523
2025-12-0120491.803278688523
2026-01-0140163.934426229505
2026-02-0137704.91803278688
2026-03-0131147.540983606556
2026-04-0138524.59016393442
Annual Return Matrix
YearAnnual Return
2017-0.15573770491803285
2018-0.5145631067961165
2019-0.6
20204.5
20214
2022-0.2909090909090909
20230.5128205128205128
2024-0.423728813559322
2025-0.26470588235294124
20260.8799999999999999
Total Factor Risk
1.3067566981834315
VTI.US Exposure
0.0009276503307784729
VEA.US Exposure
0.06615140408590758
VWO.US Exposure
-0.01037794649847609
QQQ.US Exposure
0.06002637921390454
VTV.US Exposure
0.009383489838358376
IJR.US Exposure
-0.009884646705717474
QUAL.US Exposure
-0.00806549376316934
SHV.US Exposure
0.5153431345158097
TLT.US Exposure
0.0028880252104006954
LQD.US Exposure
0.029785262077721468
HYG.US Exposure
0.045440438851162945
GLD.US Exposure
0.016681451530877606
USO.US Exposure
0.01464451399092195
VNQ.US Exposure
0.022317680166511897
BTC-USD.CC Exposure
0.0080016190110939
CPER.US Exposure
0.004618285955076085
VIX.INDX Exposure
-0.006286046438839265
UUP.US Exposure
0.026412704333488187
TIP.US Exposure
0.0029298857087800834
Idiosyncratic Exposure
0.20906220858540858
Value Score
50
Growth Score
50
Profit Score
37.5
Health Score
23.6
Yield Score
0
Moat Score
40

Factor Risk Decomposition

Share of annualised volatility attributable to each macro factor.

Total Est. Vol
130.7%

FundamentalsiCompany financial health metrics: P/E valuation, dividend yield, Piotroski F-Score (9-point profitability signal), Altman Z-Score (bankruptcy risk proxy), and a radar chart across 6 fundamental dimensions. Note: ETFs may show N/A for some metrics.

Fundamental Dimensions

Core Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)P/E RatioPrice-to-Earnings ratio — the market price of a stock divided by its earnings per share, a key valuation measure.Click for full definition →N/A
Dividend YieldDividend YieldAnnual dividend paid per share divided by the current share price — expressed as a percentage income return.Click for full definition →0.00%
Market Cap$173.0M
Piotroski F-ScorePiotroski F-ScoreA 9-point scoring system evaluating a company's financial strength across profitability, leverage, and operating efficiency.Click for full definition →
9-point profitability signal
0.0/ 9
Weak
Altman Z-ScoreAltman Z-ScoreA bankruptcy prediction model that combines 5 financial ratios into a single score indicating financial distress risk.Click for full definition →
Bankruptcy risk proxy
1.18
Distress Zone
Income Simulation

Based on $10,000 initial investment.

Total Income Generated
$0
Avg Yield on Cost
0.00%

Momentum & MacroiPrice momentum indicators relative to key technical levels: distance from 50-Day SMA (intermediate trend), 200-Day SMA (long-term trend), 52-Week High (bullish proximity), and Beta (market sensitivity coefficient).

vs 50-Day SMAMoving Averages (SMA)A rolling average of an asset's price over a defined window — used to identify trends and momentum signals.Click for full definition →
+11.0%
Above/below 50-day moving average
vs 200-Day SMAMoving Averages (SMA)A rolling average of an asset's price over a defined window — used to identify trends and momentum signals.Click for full definition →
+53.5%
Above/below 200-day moving average
vs 52-Week High52-Week HighThe highest price an asset reached in the past 52 weeks — a key reference for momentum and valuation context.Click for full definition →
14.5% from high
Distance from 52-week high
BetaBetaA measure of an asset's sensitivity to broad market movements relative to a benchmark (e.g. S&P 500).Click for full definition →
0.90
Market sensitivity coefficient

Frequently Asked Questions & Methodology

Is Alligator Energy Ltd a high-risk investment?

Alligator Energy Ltd (AGE.AU) has an annualized volatility of 130.7% and experienced a maximum drawdown of 88.8% over the last 10 years. Its primary macro risk driver is SHV.US.

What is the 10-year return of AGE.AU?

Over the past 10 years, AGE.AU has generated a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 14.6%. It has had a positive return in 40% of the years measured.

Data Methodology & Trust

The risk and return information on this page is pre-calculated mathematically using daily market data spanning a 10-year period. Fundamentals (such as P/E Ratio, Market Cap, and Dividend Yield) represent trailing averages and may not immediately reflect real-time live market fluctuations. Advanced scoring models like the Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score are proxies applied to publicly available trailing-twelve-month financial statements and may not account for recent off-balance-sheet events, qualitative company shifts, or sector-specific capital structures. Macroeconomic factor exposures are estimated via multivariate regression against standard market indices. This data is provided for quantitative insight and backtesting research, and should not be misconstrued as tailored financial advice.

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