Astral Resources NL

10-Year Study

AAR.AU · Basic Materials · AU · Common Stock

Executive Summary: Astral Resources NL has compounded at 34.8% annually over the last 10 years, with a maximum drawdown of 68.1% and an annualized volatility of 55.8%.

1Y CAGR
+6.1%
3Y CAGR
+40.8%
5Y CAGR
+16.5%
10Y CAGR
+34.8%

History & Riski10-year historical performance analysis including CAGR, Max Drawdown, Sharpe & Sortino ratios, annual returns, and rolling volatility — all computed from daily market data.

10-Year Growth of $10,000

Max DrawdownMax DrawdownThe largest peak-to-trough decline in the asset's value over the measurement period.Click for full definition →
68.1%
Sharpe RatioSharpe RatioRisk-adjusted return: how much excess return you earn per unit of total risk (volatility).Click for full definition →
0.93
Sortino RatioSortino RatioLike Sharpe, but only penalizes downside volatility — a more accurate risk measure for asymmetric return distributions.Click for full definition →
1.98
Ann. VolatilityAnnualized VolatilityThe annualized standard deviation of an asset's returns — a measure of how much prices fluctuate.Click for full definition →
61.6%
Best YearBest & Worst YearThe single calendar year with the highest and lowest return in the measured period.Click for full definition →
2017 · +598.0%
Worst YearBest & Worst YearThe single calendar year with the highest and lowest return in the measured period.Click for full definition →
2022 · -33.5%
% Positive Years% Positive YearsThe percentage of calendar years in the measurement period where the asset delivered a positive return.Click for full definition →
60%

Annual Returns

Rolling 12-Month Returns

Rolling 12-Month Annualised Volatility

Historical Drawdowns

Monthly Returns

Monthly Returns Heatmap

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecAnn.
2026-7.514.3-35.75.6————————-28.3%
202511.1-10.014.83.212.5-8.3-3.03.142.4-12.84.923.396.3%
2024-8.2-11.91.73.329.83.1-14.538.022.425.0-13.33.884.9%
20231.4-4.18.65.3-12.5-5.73.0-4.429.2-4.80.0-8.81.4%
2022-9.15.00.0-12.4-4.3-20.410.014.2-9.9-25.612.110.8-33.5%
20214.0-26.12.0-6.1-1.1-6.610.6-16.01.33.84.826.4-12.0%
202029.18.3-25.439.23.70.028.62.8-13.5-9.3-3.5-10.734.4%
2019-32.63.44.924.5-19.7-6.311.5-7.374.5-27.315.01.14.5%
2018-16.2-9.10.03.87.23.34.4-11.5-7.10.07.64.8-15.2%
201726.45.354.825.92.69.96.78.70.060.8-3.732.9598.0%
2016———24.10.020.416.97.219.616.9-4.8-24.987.3%

Risk X-RayiA 19-factor macroeconomic risk decomposition showing exactly which market forces (equity beta, rates, inflation, credit, commodity, crypto) drive this asset's volatility. Powered by multivariate regression against daily factor returns.

Risk Profile Insight: This asset has an estimated annualized volatility of 55.8%. The dominant macroeconomic risk driver is SHV.US, accounting for 21.4% of variance. Idiosyncratic stock-specific factors contribute 43.3%.

10-Year Historical Price Series (Growth of $10,000)
DateSimulated Value
2016-03-0110000
2016-04-0112405.06329113924
2016-05-0112405.06329113924
2016-06-0114936.70886075949
2016-07-0117468.354430379746
2016-08-0118734.177215189873
2016-09-0122405.06329113924
2016-10-0126202.53164556962
2016-11-0124936.70886075949
2016-12-0118734.177215189873
2017-01-0123670.886075949365
2017-02-0124936.70886075949
2017-03-0138607.594936708854
2017-04-0148607.594936708854
2017-05-0149873.41772151898
2017-06-0154810.12658227847
2017-07-0158481.01265822784
2017-08-0163544.30379746835
2017-09-0163544.30379746835
2017-10-01102151.89873417719
2017-11-0198354.43037974683
2017-12-01130759.49367088606
2018-01-01109620.25316455694
2018-02-0199620.25316455695
2018-03-0199620.25316455695
2018-04-01103417.72151898732
2018-05-01110886.07594936708
2018-06-01114556.96202531645
2018-07-01119620.25316455695
2018-08-01105822.78481012656
2018-09-0198354.43037974683
2018-10-0198354.43037974683
2018-11-01105822.78481012656
2018-12-01110886.07594936708
2019-01-0174683.54430379746
2019-02-0177215.18987341771
2019-03-0181012.6582278481
2019-04-01100886.07594936708
2019-05-0181012.6582278481
2019-06-0175949.36708860759
2019-07-0184683.54430379746
2019-08-0178481.01265822785
2019-09-01136962.0253164557
2019-10-0199620.25316455695
2019-11-01114556.96202531645
2019-12-01115822.78481012656
2020-01-01149493.67088607594
2020-02-01161898.73417721517
2020-03-01120759.49367088606
2020-04-01168101.26582278477
2020-05-01174303.79746835437
2020-06-01174303.79746835437
2020-07-01224177.21518987342
2020-08-01230379.74683544302
2020-09-01199240.5063291139
2020-10-01180632.91139240505
2020-11-01174303.79746835437
2020-12-01155696.20253164554
2021-01-01161898.73417721517
2021-02-01119620.25316455695
2021-03-01122025.3164556962
2021-04-01114556.96202531645
2021-05-01113291.13924050631
2021-06-01105822.78481012656
2021-07-01117088.6075949367
2021-08-0198354.43037974683
2021-09-0199620.25316455695
2021-10-01103417.72151898732
2021-11-01108354.43037974683
2021-12-01136962.0253164557
2022-01-01124556.96202531645
2022-02-01130759.49367088606
2022-03-01130759.49367088606
2022-04-01114556.96202531645
2022-05-01109620.25316455694
2022-06-0187215.18987341772
2022-07-0195949.36708860759
2022-08-01109620.25316455694
2022-09-0198734.17721518986
2022-10-0173417.72151898734
2022-11-0182278.48101265822
2022-12-0191139.24050632911
2023-01-0192405.06329113922
2023-02-0188607.59493670885
2023-03-0196202.5316455696
2023-04-01101265.82278481011
2023-05-0188607.59493670885
2023-06-0183544.30379746835
2023-07-0186075.9493670886
2023-08-0182278.48101265822
2023-09-01106329.11392405063
2023-10-01101265.82278481011
2023-11-01101265.82278481011
2023-12-0192405.06329113922
2024-01-0184810.12658227848
2024-02-0174683.54430379746
2024-03-0175949.36708860759
2024-04-0178481.01265822785
2024-05-01101898.73417721518
2024-06-01105063.2911392405
2024-07-0189873.41772151897
2024-08-01124050.63291139239
2024-09-01151898.73417721517
2024-10-01189873.41772151896
2024-11-01164556.96202531643
2024-12-01170886.07594936708
2025-01-01189873.41772151896
2025-02-01170886.07594936708
2025-03-01196202.5316455696
2025-04-01202531.64556962022
2025-05-01227848.10126582277
2025-06-01208860.75949367086
2025-07-01202531.64556962022
2025-08-01208860.75949367086
2025-09-01297468.3544303797
2025-10-01259493.6708860759
2025-11-01272151.8987341772
2025-12-01335443.0379746835
2026-01-01310126.582278481
2026-02-01354430.3797468354
2026-03-01227848.10126582277
2026-04-01240506.32911392403
Annual Return Matrix
YearAnnual Return
20175.97972972972973
2018-0.15198451113262346
20190.044520547945205546
20200.34426229508196715
2021-0.12032520325203244
2022-0.33456561922366
20230.01388888888888884
20240.849315068493151
20250.962962962962963
2026-0.28301886792452835
Total Factor Risk
0.5578414693009954
VTI.US Exposure
-0.01355989706995473
VEA.US Exposure
0.04659517752726698
VWO.US Exposure
0.031628941961567604
QQQ.US Exposure
0.09722507891370584
VTV.US Exposure
0.010179307499334246
IJR.US Exposure
-0.002557729210564217
QUAL.US Exposure
-0.010182750739204546
SHV.US Exposure
0.21442787634160207
TLT.US Exposure
-0.008333082263561865
LQD.US Exposure
0.026685746606075658
HYG.US Exposure
-0.0015193722980726665
GLD.US Exposure
0.15771511561322843
USO.US Exposure
0.00848290207722318
VNQ.US Exposure
-0.003729174849730579
BTC-USD.CC Exposure
-0.000013563140156447541
CPER.US Exposure
0.006339301633947171
VIX.INDX Exposure
0.015602227518289465
UUP.US Exposure
-0.007793954260661854
TIP.US Exposure
0.00017857986120981188
Idiosyncratic Exposure
0.43262926827845644
Value Score
50
Growth Score
50
Profit Score
37.5
Health Score
23.6
Yield Score
0
Moat Score
40

Factor Risk Decomposition

Share of annualised volatility attributable to each macro factor.

Total Est. Vol
55.8%

FundamentalsiCompany financial health metrics: P/E valuation, dividend yield, Piotroski F-Score (9-point profitability signal), Altman Z-Score (bankruptcy risk proxy), and a radar chart across 6 fundamental dimensions. Note: ETFs may show N/A for some metrics.

Fundamental Dimensions

Core Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)P/E RatioPrice-to-Earnings ratio — the market price of a stock divided by its earnings per share, a key valuation measure.Click for full definition →N/A
Dividend YieldDividend YieldAnnual dividend paid per share divided by the current share price — expressed as a percentage income return.Click for full definition →0.00%
Market Cap$342.2M
Piotroski F-ScorePiotroski F-ScoreA 9-point scoring system evaluating a company's financial strength across profitability, leverage, and operating efficiency.Click for full definition →
9-point profitability signal
0.0/ 9
Weak
Altman Z-ScoreAltman Z-ScoreA bankruptcy prediction model that combines 5 financial ratios into a single score indicating financial distress risk.Click for full definition →
Bankruptcy risk proxy
1.18
Distress Zone
Income Simulation

Based on $10,000 initial investment.

Total Income Generated
$0
Avg Yield on Cost
0.00%

Momentum & MacroiPrice momentum indicators relative to key technical levels: distance from 50-Day SMA (intermediate trend), 200-Day SMA (long-term trend), 52-Week High (bullish proximity), and Beta (market sensitivity coefficient).

vs 50-Day SMAMoving Averages (SMA)A rolling average of an asset's price over a defined window — used to identify trends and momentum signals.Click for full definition →
-17.4%
Above/below 50-day moving average
vs 200-Day SMAMoving Averages (SMA)A rolling average of an asset's price over a defined window — used to identify trends and momentum signals.Click for full definition →
-11.2%
Above/below 200-day moving average
vs 52-Week High52-Week HighThe highest price an asset reached in the past 52 weeks — a key reference for momentum and valuation context.Click for full definition →
34.5% from high
Distance from 52-week high
BetaBetaA measure of an asset's sensitivity to broad market movements relative to a benchmark (e.g. S&P 500).Click for full definition →
0.58
Market sensitivity coefficient

Frequently Asked Questions & Methodology

Is Astral Resources NL a high-risk investment?

Astral Resources NL (AAR.AU) has an annualized volatility of 55.8% and experienced a maximum drawdown of 68.1% over the last 10 years. Its primary macro risk driver is SHV.US.

What is the 10-year return of AAR.AU?

Over the past 10 years, AAR.AU has generated a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 34.8%. It has had a positive return in 60% of the years measured.

Data Methodology & Trust

The risk and return information on this page is pre-calculated mathematically using daily market data spanning a 10-year period. Fundamentals (such as P/E Ratio, Market Cap, and Dividend Yield) represent trailing averages and may not immediately reflect real-time live market fluctuations. Advanced scoring models like the Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score are proxies applied to publicly available trailing-twelve-month financial statements and may not account for recent off-balance-sheet events, qualitative company shifts, or sector-specific capital structures. Macroeconomic factor exposures are estimated via multivariate regression against standard market indices. This data is provided for quantitative insight and backtesting research, and should not be misconstrued as tailored financial advice.

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