Macro Factors

Macro Z-Score

A statistical measurement showing how many standard deviations an economic metric is from its historical average.

A Z-Score standardizes economic data — like inflation or real interest rates — so they can be compared objectively over time. A Z-Score of +1.0 indicates the metric is one standard deviation above its long-term historical mean.

On StressTest.pro, we use Macro Z-Scores to map historical market regimes. When real interest rates reach a Z-Score above +1.0, the economy is statistically operating in a 'Restrictive' regime, heavily impacting equity valuations.

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Disclaimer

The information provided by StressTest.pro is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investment involves risk, including possible loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Calculations are based on historical data and statistical approximations.